Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.020844 0.022387 0.023992 0.025790 0.027748 0.029820 0.032180
2024-10-13 0.018112 0.020310 0.022715 0.025553 0.028818 0.032469 0.036877
2024-10-20 0.016055 0.018583 0.021456 0.024980 0.029208 0.034143 0.040380
2024-10-27 0.014942 0.017752 0.021047 0.025222 0.030410 0.036694 0.044955
2024-11-03 0.013951 0.016941 0.020539 0.025227 0.031231 0.038739 0.048958
2024-11-10 0.013272 0.016434 0.020330 0.025535 0.032387 0.041211 0.053615
2024-11-17 0.012435 0.015657 0.019707 0.025236 0.032692 0.042543 0.056794
2024-11-24 0.011782 0.015064 0.019268 0.025124 0.033199 0.044131 0.060381
2024-12-01 0.011116 0.014409 0.018697 0.024781 0.033343 0.045194 0.063255
2024-12-08 0.010664 0.014009 0.018436 0.024831 0.034011 0.047000 0.067299
2024-12-15 0.010123 0.013457 0.017933 0.024501 0.034103 0.047961 0.070114
2024-12-22 0.009574 0.012865 0.017340 0.024004 0.033908 0.048466 0.072236
2024-12-29 0.009144 0.012422 0.016940 0.023769 0.034091 0.049557 0.075370
2025-01-05 0.008742 0.012000 0.016548 0.023521 0.034237 0.050588 0.078472
2025-01-12 0.008288 0.011481 0.015991 0.022995 0.033916 0.050860 0.080324
2025-01-19 0.008081 0.011312 0.015933 0.023213 0.034756 0.053007 0.085462
2025-01-26 0.007829 0.011064 0.015744 0.023217 0.035250 0.054613 0.089771
2025-02-02 0.007667 0.010941 0.015736 0.023496 0.036194 0.057005 0.095632
2025-02-09 0.007374 0.010608 0.015392 0.023226 0.036217 0.057841 0.098735
2025-02-16 0.007140 0.010356 0.015162 0.023123 0.036509 0.059146 0.102783
2025-02-23 0.006870 0.010038 0.014815 0.022813 0.036428 0.059788 0.105619
2025-03-02 0.006698 0.009865 0.014689 0.022857 0.036953 0.061523 0.110673
2025-03-09 0.006458 0.009576 0.014367 0.022559 0.036862 0.062141 0.113572